Article

Article title ELEMENTS OF THEORY OF PREDICTION IN EDUCATION
Authors V.S. Klopchenko
Section SECTION VII. PROBLEMS OF FORMATION
Month, Year 04, 2009 @en
Index UDC 378.1
DOI
Abstract New prediction methodologies were created to assess the need in market demands for specialists in higher professional education. These methods can be used as a good guidance to the higher education institutions on the demands of their graduates. The need for development of new theory and methodology for pedagogical forecast. The analysis of technical system processes demonstrated some similarities to pedagogical processes. System development has multi step character which requires more complex statistical data analysis. This paper investigates the relationships among types of the higher education institutions, their admission numbers and number of graduates. Similar shape of statistical curves to describe each step of data allows for creation of analytical models to describe entire process off development. Built models allow forecasting of long term objectives of institutions of higher education with certain precision.

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Keywords Pedagogy, forecasting; social system development; analytical modeling.
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